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Hypertension Risk

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By Thiruvelan, 1 November, 2012
Hypertension Risk

This risk calculator has been developed based on research data from clinical study to estimate the risk for a non-hypertensive person to develop hypertension in the next 3, 6, and 9 years. This calculator is for people over the age of 45 years and above.

Hypertension risk calculator

This calculator is based on the study article published in THE JOURNAL OF CLINICAL HYPERTENSION, VOL. 12 NO. 10 OCTOBER 2010 with the title "A Hypertension Risk Score for Middle-Aged and Older Adults."

As such, our covariate selection can be regarded as being guided by scientific as well as numeric evidence. The following variables served as risk factors: age, sex, body mass index (BMI), exercise, diabetes, SBP, DBP, smoking, and family history of hypertension. These are the inputs you need to provide for the calculator to calculate your risk towards hypertension for the next 3 years, 6 years, and 9 years.

We found that the strongest predictors of incident hypertension were: 

  1. baseline SBP in the prehypertension range; 
  2. advanced age; and 
  3. obesity.

The purpose of this calculator is to motivate individuals to engage in lifestyle changes to lower the risk of hypertension and to bring this topic to their healthcare providers.

  
 
  
 
   
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
   
 
  
 
  
 
 
 

The treatment of hypertension in the elderly can be complicated, and there still remains uncertainty as to whether the BP goals we set for young individuals pertain to older individuals. It may be possible to individualize the approach to elderly persons. For example, a 75-year-old who is nondiabetic, regularly exercises, and has never smoked could be viewed (and managed) differently from a 75-year-old with identical systolic and diastolic recordings but a history of tobacco abuse, inactivity, and impaired glucose tolerance.

we found that exercise ⁄physical activity is a scientifically supported protective factor that often fails to reach statistical significance because it is difficult to quantify. Additionally, exercise is a highly modifiable and dynamic factor; change in exercise patterns can modify the risk status, in contrast to demographic and health history variables.

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